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Global LEI Report - The Conference Board About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the global economy The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle The CEI is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real GDP
US Leading Indicators - The Conference Board The LEI is a predictive tool that anticipates—or “leads”—turning points in the business cycle by around seven months The ten components of the Leading Economic Index® for the US are: Average weekly hours in manufacturing Average weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance Manufacturers’ new orders for consumer goods and materials
US LEI Chartbook - The Conference Board The leading, coincident, and lagging indexes are designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle for major economies around the world
Global Leading Indicators - The Conference Board The Conference Board is the global, nonprofit think tank and business membership organization that delivers Trusted Insights for What's Ahead ® For over 100 years, our cutting-edge research, data, events and executive networks have helped the world's leading companies understand the present and shape the future
US LEI Technical Notes - conference-board. org The Conference Board LEI for the US continued to decline; as a result, its six-month growth rate fell further into negative territory Meanwhile, The Conference Board CEI for the US has been rising very slowly through May, with strengths widespread among its components The current behavior of the composite indexes and their underlying components suggest that the expansion in economic activity
US LEI improving, but recession signal remains The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the United States continued to improve in August, but a recession signal derived from the index has continued to flash since March This signal, generated using the “3Ds” rule (depth, duration, and diffusion), is activated when certain criteria in the overall LEI and its many components are met A large decline (depth) in the six
US LEI Technical Notes - conference-board. org The Conference Board LEI for the US decreased in January Negative contributions from average working hours in manufacturing and depressed consumer expectations more than offset the small positive contributions from initial unemployment claims, the interest rate spread, and the Leading Credit IndexTM In the six-month period ending January 2025, the leading economic index decreased by 0 9%
News Release - conference-board. org The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Plunged in April The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US fell sharply by 1 0% in April 2025 to 99 4 (2016=100), after declining by 0 8% in March (revised downward from the –0 7% originally reported) The LEI declined by 2 0% in the six-month period ending April 2025, the same rate of decline as over the
LEI for the UK Continued to Fall in April - conference-board. org The next release is scheduled for Wednesday, July 16, 2025, at 9:30 A M ET The UK LEI continued its downward trend in April April’s decline in the UK LEI was driven primarily by weak housing sales expectations, consumer expectations, and lower stock prices The 6-month growth rate of the UK LEI has cooled but remained above the recession