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Ohio 1st - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight OH-1 is 9 4 percentage points more Republican-leaning than the country overall, based on how it has voted in recent presidential and state legislative elections It voted for Trump in 2016 and Romney in 2012 Incumbent's margin in last election
Pennsylvania - 2018 Senate Forecast - FiveThirtyEight The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of the race (if available), polls of similar races (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals) It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings
California 12th - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals) It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings —
Arizona 4th - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight AZ-4 is 42 8 percentage points more Republican-leaning than the country overall, based on how it has voted in recent presidential and state legislative elections It voted for Trump in 2016 and Romney in 2012 Incumbent's margin in last election
Ohio 7th - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight Trump's approval ratings How popular is the president? Latest polls; Generic ballot; Trump approval; Search for a race or candidate + Back to the national overview Gimme the works — the Classic forecasts plus experts’ ratings Search for a race or candidate + Ohio 7th Solid R
Texas 22nd - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight Trump's approval ratings How popular is the president? Latest polls; Generic ballot; Trump approval; Search for a race or candidate + Gimme the works — the Classic forecasts plus experts’ ratings Search for a race or candidate + Texas 22nd Likely R 1 in 5 Chance
New York 17th - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight Trump's approval ratings How popular is the president? Latest polls; Generic ballot; Trump approval; Search for a race or candidate + Gimme the works — the Classic forecasts plus experts’ ratings Search for a race or candidate + New York 17th Solid D >99 in 100 Chance the Democrat
Vermont : U. S. House Polls | FiveThirtyEight The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party