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Vanguard Capital Markets Model® forecasts | Vanguard The chart and table below reflect our outlooks for the annualized 10- and 30-year performance (total returns and volatility levels) of broad asset classes based on a May 31, 2025, running of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model (VCMM) The probabilistic return assumptions depend on market conditions and can change with each running over time
Market Perspectives - The Vanguard Group Vanguard’s outlook for financial markets Our 10-year annualized nominal return and volatility forecasts are shown below They are based on the May 31, 2025, running of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model® (VCMM)
Vanguard’s 10-year asset-class return outlooks | Vanguard The Vanguard Asset Allocation Model (VAAM) optimizes the TVAA portfolio Inputs to VAAM come from the Vanguard Capital Markets Model, which produces the 10-year market outlooks we publish regularly—outlooks that focus on the central tendencies produced by the model
Vanguard 10-Year Stock Market Forecasts 2025-2035 (+Retrospective) Vanguard recently released their most recent annual 10-year forecast as of mid-November 2024 (effectively the beginning of 2025) The beginning of the year is the time for forecasts, and that also …
Our investment and economic outlook, April 2025 | Vanguard Vanguard has updated its forecasts for broad asset class returns through a March 31, 2025, running of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model® (VCMM) The probabilistic return assumptions depend on market conditions and change with each running over time Forecast changes relative to the December 31, 2024, running of the VCMM are attributable both to market movements and enhancements to our model
Total Return Chart - Vanguard® Note that one-year performance figures are not fee-adjusted for fees incurred on shares held less than one year In addition, Vanguard funds apply a $20 annual account service fee, which is not reflected in the figures, to all funds with balances below $10,000 in many types of accounts If these fees were included, performance would be lower
Vanguard Releases 2025 Economic and Market Outlook VALLEY FORGE, PA (December 11, 2024)—Vanguard today released its annual outlook on the global economy and financial markets This year’s report, “ Beyond the Landing,” provides investors a comprehensive economic roadmap and articulates Vanguard's updated long-term investment thesis Vanguard’s global team of economists explore essential themes that will drive the trajectory of
Our investment and economic outlook, April 2024 | Vanguard Vanguard’s outlook for financial markets Our 10-year annualized nominal return and volatility forecasts are shown below They are based on the December 31, 2023, running of the Vanguard Capital Markets Model ® (VCMM) Equity returns reflect a range of 2 percentage points around the 50 th percentile of the distribution of probable outcomes
Vanguard economic and market outlook for 2024: Global summary Indeed, our Vanguard Capital Markets Model® (VCMM) projections suggest an increasing likelihood of greater opportunities outside the U S from a U S dollar investor's perspective We project 10-year annualized returns of 7 0%–9 0% for non-U S developed markets and 6 6%–8 6% for emerging markets